1. Conditional probability and Bayes Theorem
- Empirical probabilities
2. Evidence evaluation
- Forensic Evidences types
- The value of evidence
- Significance testing and evidence evaluation
- Relevance and the formulation of propositions
3. Evaluation of evidence in practice and example
- Which database to use
- Type and geographic factors
- DNA and database selection
- Verbal equivalence of the likelihood ratio
- Some common criticisms of statistical approaches
- Blood group frequencies
- Trouser fibres
- Shoe types
- Airweapon projectiles
- Height description from eyewitness
- DNA
4. Errors in interpretation
Statistically based errors of interpretation (Transposed conditional;
Defender’s fallacy; Numerical conversion error)
Methodological errors of interpretation
Different level error
Defendant’s database fallacy
Independence assumption